Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Ed P's avatar

Fascinating insights. Thank you.

Putin seems to me to be ideologically fluid - he is a pragmatic strongman kleptocrat with a chip on his shoulder for the West, which he uses to justify his aggression and abuses. He seems to have absolutely no moral boundaries. But his goals together with the elite he serves are cementing their power and impunity first and foremost. This impulse guides like 99.9% of Russian autocratic leadership’s decision making as far as I can tell - protecting and preserving the enormous pile of stolen wealth and power.

My $0.02, the major misunderstanding of Putin and this conflict surrounds Russia’s position that it is threatened. EuroMaidan was so threatening to Putin and cronies not because NATO would invade Russia next with tanks and guns. But eventually, the West’s culture and values would eventually invade with protest mantras and demands for ousting leadership. Having Russia border a functional liberal state is the threat Russian leadership seeks to neutralize - it is existential only to autocratic leadership however, not Russia as a state or to Russian citizens.

The “Mauripol plan” floated to Paul Manafort to entice him during the 2016 presidential campaign demonstrates Russia’s goals to create independent vassal states with puppet leadership from Ukraine’s eastern provinces dates back to at least 2016, and that their assistance/outreach to Trump’s campaign was largely part of this same conflict, same attempt for Russia’s leadership to secure itself.

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/02/magazine/russiagate-paul-manafort-ukraine-war.html

William Everdell's avatar

Alexander Vindman says, start with the proposition that Putin is not suicidal. I wish I could.

8 more comments...

No posts

Ready for more?